Jack, I don't think you have anything to worry about yourself. During one of the sessions on digital, someone stood up and asked if efforts were being taken to make projectors bright enough for the long throws needed for drive-ins and the answer was basically NO.
I'm not worried about that. Long ago, I learned to take the technology available and make it work for me. We have digital sound, though the manufacturers probably never considered it would be installed anywhere but at an indoor theatre. Dolby didn't intend for a CP65 to be where mine are. My automation wasn't designed for theatres at all... it's a radio station system. Pretty much nothing here was designed to be at a drive-in... except maybe the screens and the speaker posts... and the posts are just parking markers out here.
I think drive-in design probably went out with the end of Ashcraft lamps, Hobart generators and the big RCA, Altec, Ballantyne and Simplex power amplifiers. Heck... even Spatz paint is but a memory.
So... asking whether ANYONE is thinking specifically about a drive-in when they're designing their products is probably a question with a predictable answer.
There already is a digital projector that will come close to industry standards on a drive-in screen. In some cases, it might even hit them. You might need larger bulbs than you're used to using, maybe heavier (or 3-phase) wiring and a higher electric bill, but it can be done. Heck... if you have the money, you CAN go with two machines. That would make it much easier.
Remember, as it is now, very few drive-ins come close to half the light intensity that's specified in the standards. That doesn't justify anything. However, if you're only getting 1 or 2 fL out of your present setup, a digital that can get you to 10 would be a major upgrade. The NEC projector did better than that on a 86 foot screen.
As you say... we have to find our own benefits to going with digital right now... and you're right in your observation that I'm not there yet.
I don't mind splicing my films, though I realize I could spend the money to eliminate that. I know several drive-in owners who would probably go with digital just on that basis, were it not for the annual fees involved. Being able to point-and-click my trailer list would be VERY cool... but that's not something the audience would notice.
I've always taken care of my own machines, so I'm saving the maintenance contract money. I have spare power supplies, transmitters and projector heads here, and I can put the whole place on a diesel generator in about 10 minutes. Don't forget that if something goes wrong with a Christie machine, you don't have the ability to do much about it. Opening it up fully disables it and sends a message out that you've been bad. The NEC system has a training program that will help you get around that... and others may, by this time.
I like the fact that I have the ability to determine whose bulbs go into my lamphouses, and I use the products of two different companies for subjective reasons. That probably wouldn't be the case if Christie was managing the booth.
The "alternative content" argument doesn't resonate with me. There's plenty of film to run during my good (weather) months, and not much in the way of alternative that I could really dedicate a screen to... especially for an entire week.
As it is, this may be a moot issue for seasonal operations. Last I checked, the financing people weren't much interested in placing a projector that would be turned off for 5+ months of the year.
There are, maybe, 8 digital projectors in my entire state. That's twice as many as there were last year, but half as many as could fit into one of our many mondoplexes. There has to be a reason for that, though the big boys aren't calling to tell me why. I figure that seeing those numbers start going up significantly will get my attention. Until then, I'm very happy to let the chain companies work out the kinks.
Unless you're sure it's the right time for you, you could install a reliable 35mm projector for a 10th of the cost of a digital. Other than maybe an occasional tune-up, you could dust, lube & oil the thing yourself and save 2-4k$ per year (per screen). In the meantime, the progression of this new technology would continue... reliability would get better, the 4k issue would work itself out, and maybe the prices would moderate a bit. Just look at what happened with the PS3. People were paying 7,000+ to be the first to have them. Now, they're less than 10% of that. A good example? Maybe... maybe not.
You could be right... digital might be a sure bet. It could also be possible that the industry is painting themselves into a corner, whereby we'll have a dual-technology system for many years to come. IF that turns out to be the case, then there's plenty of time to watch the fun play out before jumping into the pool. If not, then I think we'll all know when it's time to get serious about getting digital for our market. If the time for you is now... then great. You know your market much better than I would.
[This message has been edited by rodeojack (edited March 25, 2007).]